Home » Wild animals reduce disease risk so we shouldn’t kill them

Wild animals reduce disease risk so we shouldn’t kill them

by simon

For obvious reasons, there is a lot of talk at the moment about the risk of getting diseases from animals. We degrade habitats, illegally harvest wildlife and mix them with domestic animals in markets. This obviously increases our exposure to diseases like coronavirus or ebola. But wild animals reduce disease risk. As always we jump to killing animals as a solution for everything. As we discover, this makes things worse.

Killing more animals makes things worse

The problem for wildlife, is when authorities start issuing bounties, in an ill-informed effort to reduce the risk. Transmission of tuberculosis (TB) between wild animals and cattle caused the UK government to cull more than 100,000 wild badgers.

Being one of the UK’s remaining examples of mammal megafauna, this will have had untold impact on the ecosystem-integrity of an already fragile farming system that’s facing imminent wide-scale loss of soil fertility. Badgers no longer have any natural predators. Brown Bears and Wolves went extinct in the UK over 1,000 years ago and Golden Eagles [1], once widespread, are now only found in the far north of England and Scotland.

Wild animals reduce disease risk. There is no need to kill badgers.
European Badger. One of the largest mammals in the United Kingdom and a vector of TB, which affects domestic cattle. It is unclear whether it’s the cows, or badgers, that are the real cause of the problem and culling badgers appears to have little impact on the disease’s overall prevalence, probably because culling is indiscriminate. The absence of predators for the last 1,000 years or so, might have contributed to this problem, as predators would have selected diseased animals and helped suppress its effect. Drawing, Simon Mustoe.

When it comes to disease, the risk of animal-to-human transfer declines when ecosystems harbour natural predator-prey relationships. It’s quite obvious why. Being diseased makes animals more prone to predation. This means predators eat more diseased animals, leading to lower overall infection rate.

Restoring wildlife populations reduces disease risk

A study published in the journal Nature in 2019 [1] used a combination of field data and a theoretical model to look at the animal impact of wolves on the prevalence of TB in wild boar. On the whole, for scenarios studied, the presence of wolves had a massive effect on disease prevalence. They could almost wipe it out of the wild boar population altogether. Other studies find Lyme’s disease increased as small mammal predators were removed from the wild. This tick-borne disease is potentially fatal for humans.

I adapted these graphs from the original publication, so they are simpler to understand. The lines show the relative number of boars, and prevalence of TB over decades, based on different numbers of wolves. Note, there are roughly 30 wild boars for every wolf.

The scientists modelled both a short-term and long-term scenario. In the short-term scenario (above, left), wolf numbers were allowed to increase. This stabilised wild boar populations. It reduced disease prevalence by 5x over 14 years and almost wiped out the disease by 2050. In the long-term scenario (above, right), researchers assumed wolves would be hunted from about 2015 and decline. This led to a rapid increase in the prevalence of TB in wild boar.

This modelling reveals how introduction of a wild predator can not only stabilise increases in prey animals but radically reduce the impact of disease on domestic farming. There is some loss associated with predation of livestock by wolves. But this is more than made up for, by the reduction in disease mortality.

References

  1. Richard J. Evans, Lorcán O’Toole & D. Philip Whitfield (2012): The history of eagles in Britain and Ireland:an ecological review of placename and documentary evidence from the last 1500 years, Bird Study, 59:3, 335-349
  2. Tanner, E. et al. (2019) Wolves contribute to disease control in a multi-host system. Scientific Reports 9. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-44148-9.epdf

Spotlight

A graphic showing an image of a badger and key findings from the research

Research supported by The Born Free Foundation has established no scientific basis for killing badgers to prevent bovine tuberculosis.

Their analyses show that while the disease peaked and began to decline during the study period, there is no statistical evidence that the rate and nature of the decline was any different in the areas where badgers were being shot and the areas where there was no cull in place. The findings of the peer-reviewed study suggest that the slowing up and initial reduction of bovine TB in the High-Risk Area cannot be the result of badger culling and is in fact down to the progressive introduction of cattle-based measures including more intensive testing requirements and movement controls. The conclusions of the study are further supported by data from Wales, where a similar reduction in the disease has been achieved without culling badgers.

The work can be read in Veterinary Record.

Langton, TES, Jones, MW, McGill, I. Analysis of the impact of badger culling on bovine tuberculosis in cattle in the high-risk area of England, 2009–2020. Vet Rec. 2022;e1384. https://doi.org/10.1002/vetr.1384

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